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What Oil Price Shocks Mean for US Construction After the Start of Operation Epic Fury

KEY POINTS

  • Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) are major oil benchmarks, differing in source, quality, and geographic exposure, with Brent serving as the global price reference.

  • Operation Epic Fury has disrupted oil markets, driving Brent and WTI prices higher due to concerns over Middle East supply stability.

  • Rising oil prices are likely to raise fuel prices and, with it, construction costs. Civil projects may be the most sensitive to rising diesel costs.

Around the world, different types of oil are pumped from the ground. As a result, there are several oil markets, and their prices reflect varying geographic exposure to different world events. 

Brent vs. WTI: Key Differences in Oil Benchmarks

Two of the biggest oil markets trade in Brent Crude Oil and West Texas Intermediate or “WTI”. Both are classified as light, sweet crude oils suitable for refining into gasoline and diesel, yet they differ in source, quality, and location.

Brent crude is extracted from the North Sea, making it the benchmark for international, waterborne oil exports, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is produced in U.S. landlocked fields and serves as the primary US benchmark.

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For these reasons, Brent’s price is often considered the global reference price. However, Brent’s greater global exposure to world events makes it more price-sensitive to the impacts of global conflict relative to WTI.

Operation Epic Fury and Its Ripple Effects on Fuel Prices

Operation Epic Fury, a large-scale U.S.-led military campaign launched in February 2026 against Iran, has generated significant concern around the stability of the Middle East’s oil supplies.

The potential destruction of production and or key supply chain infrastructure, including pipelines, hubs, and tanker ports, has driven the prices for both Brent and WTI crude significantly higher since last week.

The latest trading data point to both WTI and US national average diesel prices rising to multi-year highs.

 oil chart ConstructConnect march 5 2026

A chart shows U.S. Diesel Retail sales prices and the Producer Price Index (Net inputs to construction industries, goods). Rising oil prices are likely to raise fuel prices and, with it, construction costs. Civil projects may be the most sensitive to rising diesel costs. Image: ConstructConnect 

Diesel Fuel Prices

Diesel fuel prices are released by the Energy Information Administration each Tuesday. The last weekly reading was released on March 2nd, 2026, and reported diesel fuel’s price at $3.89 per gallon. AAA’s daily report for March 5th cited diesel at $4.17 per gallon.

rising oil prices march  5 2026 constructconnect

A chart shows West Texas Intermediate oil prices and US Diesel Retail prices. The last weekly reading was released on March 2nd, 2026, by the Energy Information Administration, and reported diesel fuel’s price at $3.89 per gallon. AAA’s daily report for March 5th  cited diesel at $4.17 per gallon. Image: ConstructConnect

Historically, large swings in diesel prices have been correlated with similar, though smaller, moves in construction goods prices. Looking more broadly, rising fuel prices will directly affect transportation costs, which will spill over to all goods that require transportation.

Heavy, bulk goods in particular will be more impacted by higher fuel costs. Civil projects that involve significant amounts of heavy, high-volume materials, such as aggregate or concrete, will be disproportionately affected.

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Michael Guckes, Chief Economist
Michael Guckes is regularly featured as an economics thought leader in national media, including USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, and Marketplace from APM. He started in construction economics as a leading economist for the Ohio Department of Transportation. He then transitioned to manufacturing economics, where he served five years as the chief economist for Gardner Business Media. He covered all forms of manufacturing, from traditional metalworking to advanced composites fabrication. In 2022, Michael joined ConstructConnect's economics team, shifting his focus to the commercial construction market. He received his bachelor’s degree in economics and political science from Kenyon College and his MBA from the Ohio State University.